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CONTENTS
Chapter one Goal and the basic conclusion of report 1
Section one Basic conclusion 1
First, the current transport ability of container shipping market and the developmental trend in recent years 1
Second, the current transport ability of dry Bulk cargo carrier market and the developmental trend in recent years 3
Third, the current transport ability of readymade crude carrierping market and the developmental trend in recent years 5
Fourth, the current transport ability of chemical product shipping market and the developmental trend in recent years 6
Fifth, current the developmental trend of new shipbuilding type 8
Section two Brief suggestion and report's conclusion 9
Chapter two Survey of basic situation 11
Section one The tonnage composing of world merchant fleet 11
First, basic overview 11
Second, tonnages composing of different fleets 13
Third, world crude carrier market 24
Section two World shipping market's summary 26
First, market situation of the world shipping 26
Second, world shipping market's development prospect 28
Third, main trend of world shipping market's development under the globalization background 29
Section three World shipbuilding market's summary 31
First, state of world shipbuilding market 31
Second, market prospects 36
Third, world shipbuilding market's trend of the following 15 years 37
Fourth, Chinese shipbuilding industry took off again 40
Section four The general analysis of international container transportation market 43
First, market situation of international container transportation 43
Second, new trend of international container transportation market 48
Section five Current summary of Chinese container market 58
First, macroscopical environmental factor 58
Second, prospect and forecast of container port of our country of 2010 65
Section six The general analysis of international bulk cargo transport market 70
First, The market prospect of world dry bulk cargo market are still good 70
Second, developmental prediction of dry bulk cargo transport 77
Section seven The demand of China transport and structural change of international shipping market 79
First, structural change of international shipping industry 79
Second, China is the engine of world shipping 81
Third, the developmental trend of China 's factor in world shipping industry in the future 85
Fourth, China shipping under the global competition pattern 88
Chapter three Economic environmental analysis 111
Section one The forecast of economic increase of main country and region 111
Section two Forecast of growth of regional economy of East Asia 112
First, the prediction of economic growth rate of East Asia in 2006 112
Second, the compare of four kinds of economic developmental model of East Asia 114
Third, prediction of economic growth of our country 124
Fourth, 2006 Japanese economic growth goals 126
Section three The prediction of throughput of China coastal port in "the Tenth Five-year Plan" and 2010 127
First, current basic state of coastal port of our country 127
Second, Situation analysis faced in coastal port of our country in the future 5-10 years 129
Third, The prediction of throughput of China coastal port in "the Tenth Five-year Plan" and 2010 133
Section four Overall tendency analysis of world petroleum market 134
First, the tendency of overall composition of consumption and demand of world energy 134
Second, the output prediction in peak period of world petroleum 137
Third, petroleum geopolitics of the some focus area become the focus of the world 138
Section five State of supply and demand of international, domestic petrochemicals over the years 144
First, international market 144
Second, domestic market 146
Chapter four Analysis of the political environment 148
Section one Research in policy of shipping 148
First, shipping environmental analysis that policy change 148
Second, the evolution and current situation of shipping policy of our country 158
Third, international comparison and appraisal of shipping policy of our country 163
Fourth, Basic principle that the policy of shipping policy is made 169
Fifth, explanation of important shipping policy 171
Section two The policy research of investment and financing of waterage 178
First, current policies and its appraisal 178
Second, the policy trend of investment and financing of waterage in the future 190
Third, the guidance of investment and financing in the future ten years 193
Fourth, the policy trend analysis according topolicy guidance 197
Fifth, the emphases explain of policy of investment and financing of waterage 201
Chapter Five Analysis of container transportation market 227
Section one Analysis of current container transportation market 227
First, container throughput of harbor 227
Second, container production f our country 230
Section two Analysis of inland waters container market 236
First, opportunity of inland waters container 236
Second, the traffic line of inland waters container is full of vitality 238
Section three Analysis of supply and demand and prospect of container ship 240
First, the container supply and demand unbalancedly dives the crisis 240
Second, The prospect of container transportation market of our country 242
Section four Analysis of increasing transport of container ship 244
First, eyes cannot take it all in container update 244
Second, the container ship transport ability grows has become the foregone conclusion 245
Third, the global competition appears the recent development pattern 248
Section five Forecast of container transportation market in the future 249
First, forecast of container yearly throughput world harbor 249
Second, developmental forecast of loading and unloading machinery of harbor container 252
Third, developmental forecast of loading and unloading machinery of harbor container 254
Chapter six Analysis of transport market of dry bulk cargo 263
Section one Analysis of transport market of dry bulk cargo 263
First, analysis of world transport market of dry bulk cargo 263
Second,represent of world transport market of dry bulk cargo 266
Section two The prospect of bulk cargo market in the near future 269
First, prospect of world dry bulk cargo transport market 269
Second, the risk analysis of world dry bulk cargo transport market 271
Section three Developmental tendency analysis of dry bulk cargo transport market 273
First, large-scale ship 275
Second , ship type are optimizing constantly 276
Third, the ship becomes younger 278
Chapter seven Analysis of transport market of petrochemical 282
Section one Market summary of transport market of petrochemical 282
Section two The forecast of supply and demand of petrochemical of East Asia 284
First, oil demand of East Asia 284
Second, oil refining ability of East Asia 287
Third, The supply and demand of petrolic products of East Asia 288
Fourth, the import volume under the situation that the demand of petrolic products of East Asia go up 290
Section three Analysis and forecast of chemical flux 291
First, export quantum of different chemicals 291
Second, prospect of Chinese market 293
Chapter eight The developmenetal tendency of ship type 295
Section one Analysis of supply and demand of global ship 295
Section two The developmental trend of container ship type 300
Section three The transportation of the chemical ship and demand of ship type 306
First, chemical ship transportation increase 306
Second, market demand is improved 306
Third, variational tendency of ship type 307
Section four The market analysis of mix transport ship 308
First, the current market situation of world mix transport ship 308
Second, the withering reason of mix transport ship market 310
Third, the prospect of mix transport ship market 313
Section five The developmental trend of ship type of Chinese inland waters 314
First, domestic and international economic environmental analysis 314
Second, the prediction analysis of channel in the future 316
Third ,the competition analysis of shipping substitute 317
Fourth, the prediction of logistics market in the future 318
Fifth, analysis of key ship type 321
Section six Transport market summary of international car carrier 325
First, the global market is more steady 325
Second, the North European market outshines others 327
Third, the giant of Japanese market fights 329
Section seven The main mode of transportation analysis of Chinese car 332
First, proportion of main mode of transportation of car of our country 332
Second, the compare of different mode of transportations of car 335
Third, analysis of potentiality of roll-on-roll-off transportation of car 336
Section eight The market prospect of transport market of car carrier 339
Section nine The forecast of demand of steel of Shipbuilding industry in 2010 345
First , the current situation and developmental plan of shipbuilding trade our country 346
Second, steel products operating position of shipbuilding trade of our country 350
Third, the steel products will be consumed in 2010 355
Fourth, domestic annual demand quantity of marine petroleum platform and situation of using the steel 359
Chapter nine Analysis of shipping market in the area 364
Section one Analysis of container flow of six major north and south sea route 364
Section two The forecast of container transportation of Asian-Pacific area 367
Section three The prospect analysis of payoff of Asia shipping 369
Section four Developmental prediction of regular ship transport of SouthEast Asian 372
Section five Market prediction of the international shipping of 2008 378
Appendix: The statistics of Chinese shipping 380
CHART CONTENTS
Chart: World merchant fleet's shipping quantity and forming 12
Chart: The quantity and composing of the crude carrier fleet 13
Chart: The quantity and composition of carrier fleet 18
Chart: The quantity and composition of bulk cargo fleet 19
Chart: The quantity and composition of container fleet 21
Chart: The state of ordering (above 4000TEU) large-scale container ship in the near future 23
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above-scale port in November of 2005 90
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in November of 2005 91
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above-scale port in October of 2005 92
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in October of 2005 94
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above port of scale of September of 2005 95
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in September of 2005 96
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above-scale port in August of 2005 97
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in August of 2005 98
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above-scale port in July of 2005 99
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in July of 2005 100
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above-scale port in June of 2005 101
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in June of 2005 102
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above-scale port in May of 2005 103
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in May of 2005 104
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above-scale port in April of 2005 105
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in April of 2005 106
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above-scale port in March of 2005 107
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in March of 2005 108
Chart: Throughput of goods of the above-scale port in February of 2005 109
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of the above-scale port in Feburary of 2005 110
Chart: The forecast of economic increase of main country and region 111
Chart: The prediction of growth of GDP of OECD 111
Chart: World Bank, to the economic forecast of growth of 2004 of main countries and regions 112
Chart: Three big kind of waterways transportation project contains content 194
Chart: The contrast of sort partition of transportation investment project of our country and this topic 196
Chart: In November, 2005 waterborne freight volume 215
Chart: In October, 2005 waterborne freight volume 216
Chart: In September, 2005 waterborne freight volume 217
Chart: In August, 2005 waterborne freight volume 218
Chart: In July, 2005 waterborne freight volume 220
Chart: In June, 2005 waterborne freight volume 221
Chart: In May, 2005 waterborne freight volume 222
Chart: In April, 2005 waterborne freight volume 223
Chart: In March, 2005 waterborne freight volume 224
Chart: In February, 2005 waterborne freight volume 225
Chart: In January, 2005 waterborne freight volume 226
Chart: Forecast of container throughput of various countries (area) harbor of Asian and Pacific area 251
Chart: The forecast of composition of world container fleet before 2011 253
Chart: The average quantity of manking order and dismantle ship of world container various years 253
Chart: The forecast of number of loading bridge of the world before 2011 256
Chart: The proportion of loading bridg of total amount of the world of every area 256
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in November of 2005 257
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in October of 2005 257
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in September of 2005 258
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in August of 2005 259
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in July of 2005 259
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in June of 2005 260
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in May of 2005 260
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in April of 2005 261
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in March of 2005 261
Chart: Container throughput of above-scale port in February of 2005 262
Chart: The structural state of age of all kinds of ship of dry bulk cargo 279
Chart: The change of transport ability of dry bulk cargo 280
Chart: The supply and demand of petrolic products in East Asia under standard situation (besides Japan) 285
Chart: Oil demand of East Asia ( Besides Japan) under standard situation 286
Chart: The ability and demand of oil refining apparatus of East Asia (besides Japan) (standard situation ) 288
Chart: The ability and demand of oil refining apparatus of China 289
Chart: The ability and demand of oil refining apparatus of South Korea 289
Chart: The forecase of supply and demand of international main sea route 297
Chart: The most new-type container ship in the world 305
Chart: The main car manufacturer of our country adopts the proportions of different mode of transportations 334
Chart: the compare of different mode of transportations of car 336
Chart: The proportion of car which be transported to coastal area at present and the proportion of which be transported by sea in the future 338
Chart: Every ship type use ship steel of high strength and low alloy 354
Chart: The ship board specification of every shipyard uses 354
Chart: Volume of consumption of main steel products of 2005 357
Chart: The consumption of steel products and shipbuilding performance of typical shipyard 357
Chart: The specification and requirement of ship board of main shipyard 358
Chart: 2004-2005 container flow of six major north and south sea route 365
Chart: Uneven coefficient of transport of North and south sea route of 2004-2005 366
Chart: The forecast of throughput of eight big ports of 2006 and 2011 368
Chart: The forecast of throughput of four big ports of 2006 and 2011 368
Chart: The forecast of newly-increased container berth in the Asian-Pacific area of 2006 and 2011 369
Chart: Prosperous index of shipping of the Changjiang River of 2004 371
Chart: Total of volume of waterborne freight of January - November of 2004 380
Chart: The accumulative total of volume of waterborne freight in January - November of 2004 380
Chart: The accumulative total like-for-like of volume of waterborne freight in January - November of 2004 381
Chart: The total of revolving volume of waterborne freight in January - November of 2004 381
Chart: The accumulative total of revolving volume of waterborne freight in January - November of 2004 382
Chart: The accumulative total like-for-like of revolving volume of waterborne freight in January- November of 2004 382
Chart: The total of volume of passenger transport in January - November of 2004 383
Chart: The accumulative total of volume of passenger transport in January - November of 2004 383
Chart: The accumulative total like-for-like of volume of passenger transport in January- November of 2004 384
Chart: The total of revoling volume of waterborne passenger in January - November of 2004 384
Chart: The accumulative total of revoling volume of waterborne passenger in January - November of 2004 385
Chart: The accumulative total like-for-like of revoling volume of waterborne passenger in January - November of 2004 385
Chart: Freight throughput total of national port in January - November of 2004 386
Chart: The accumulatie total of throughput of Freight of national port in January - November of 2004 386
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in January of 2004 387
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in February of 2004 387
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in March of 2004 388
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in April of 2004 389
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in May of 2004 390
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port of June of 2004 390
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in July of 2004 391
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in August of 2004 392
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in September of 2004 393
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in October of 2004 393
Chart: Throughput of the goods of national coastal port in November of 2004 394
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in January of 2004 395
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in February of 2004 396
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in March of 2004 396
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in April of 2004 397
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in May of 2004 397
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in June of 2004 398
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in July of 2004 398
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in August of 2004 399
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in August of 2004 399
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in October of 2004 400
Chart: Throughput of the inland waters port goods in the whole country in November of 2004 400
Chart: Foreign trade goods throughput total of national port in January - November of 2004 401
Chart: The accumulative total of throughput of foreign trade goods of national port in January - November of 2004 401
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in January of 2004 401
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in February of 2004 402
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in March of 2004 403
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in April of 2004 404
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in May of 2004 405
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in June of 2004 406
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in July of 2004 407
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in August of 2004 408
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in September of 2004 408
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in October of 2004 409
Chart: National throughput of foreign trade goods of coastal port in November of 2004 410
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in January of 2004 411
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in February of 2004 411
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in March of 2004 412
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in April of 2004 412
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in May of 2004 413
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in June of 2004 413
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in July of 2004 414
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in August of 2004 414
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in September of 2004 415
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in October of 2004 415
Chart: Throughput of foreign trade goods of inland waters port of the whole country in November of 2004 416
Chart: The total of container throughput of national port in January - November of 2004 416
Chart: The accumulative total of container throughput of national port in January - November of 2004 416
Chart: National coastal container throughput in January of 2004 417
Chart: National coastal container throughput in February of 2004 417
Chart: National coastal container throughput in March of 2004 418
Chart: National coastal container throughput in April of 2004 418
Chart: National coastal container throughput in May of 2004 419
Chart: National coastal container throughput in June of 2004 419
Chart: National coastal container throughput in July of 2004 420
Chart: National coastal container throughput in August of 2004 420
Chart: National coastal container throughput in September of 2004 421
Chart: National coastal container throughput in October of 2004 421
Chart: National coastal container throughput in November of 2004 422
Chart: Passenger's throughput total of national port in January - November of 2004 422
Chart: The accumulative total of passenger's throughput of national port in January - November of 2004 422
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in January of 2004 423
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in February of 2004 424
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in March of 2004 426
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in April of 2004 427
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in May of 2004 428
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in June of 2004 429
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in July of 2004 430
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in August of 2004 432
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in September of 2004 433
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in October of 2004 434
Chart: Volume of freight of canalage in November of 2004 435
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